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Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes60%-7.5%

Vol$4.19K

Outcomes2

60%

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Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Part of: How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

YesYes Price

60¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$4.19K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 3, 2026

in about 2 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes

60¢

|

Vol

$4.19K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes59.5¢

No40.5¢

Price History

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

58 Days Left

November 03, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 03, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.