Yes11%-4.5%
Vol$6.96K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
Part of: Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?NoNo Price
90¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$6.96K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 10 monthsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
No
90¢
|
Vol
$6.96K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes10.5¢
No89.5¢
Price History
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
311 Days Left
December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago