BackPPOLYMARKET

Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 32.0%

Vol$9.7K

SnapshotOct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Yes 32.0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?

Part of: Grok 5 released by...?

YesYes Price

32.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$9.7K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes

32.0¢

Vol

$9.7K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes32.0¢

No68.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 32.0%. Snapshot Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5, or a model that is clearly recognized as xAI’s next flagship generation succeeding Grok 4. Models released under the Grok 4 generation, including Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7, or similar variants, will not qualify. Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will not count unless they are explicitly branded as Grok 5 or otherwise clearly announced by xAI as its next flagship Grok generation. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Read this contract on Polymarket

Resolution Info