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Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?

Yes17%+1.0%

Vol$86.38

Outcomes2

17%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?

Part of: Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

NoNo Price

84¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$86.38

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

in 3 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?

No

84¢

|

Vol

$86.38

|

Outcomes

2

Yes16.5¢

No83.5¢

Price History

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

81 Days Left

January 01, 2027 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2027

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify. Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice. Qualifying confirmations must be made within this markets above specified timeframe and include official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.