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Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes 12.3%

Vol$2.1K

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Yes 12.3%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Part of: Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

YesYes Price

12.3¢

VolTotal Volume

$2.1K

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes

12.3¢

Vol

$2.1K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes12.3¢

No87.6¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 12.3%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Resolution Info