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Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Yes 3.4%

Vol$4.9K

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 3.4%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Part of: Best LLM at the end of the decade?

YesYes Price

3.4¢

VolTotal Volume

$4.9K

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Yes

3.4¢

Vol

$4.9K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes3.4¢

No96.7¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 3.4%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

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Resolution Info