Yes5%-0.4%
Vol$77.99K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Part of: Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?NoNo Price
95¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$77.99K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
in 12 monthsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No
95¢
|
Vol
$77.99K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes5.5¢
No94.5¢
Price History
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 01, 2027
5:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
349 Days Left
January 01, 2027 • 5:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago