Yes23%
Vol$60.55K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Part of: How many SpaceX launches in 2026?NoNo Price
77¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$60.55K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 10 monthsWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
No
77¢
|
Vol
$60.55K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes23.0¢
No77.0¢
Price History
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
311 Days Left
December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago