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Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes47%+1.0%

Vol$935.31K

Outcomes2

47%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Part of: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

NoNo Price

54¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$935.31K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 2, 2027

in 3 months

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Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No

54¢

|

Vol

$935.31K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes46.5¢

No53.5¢

Price History

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

81 Days Left

January 02, 2027 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 02, 2027

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.