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Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the January interest rate announcement?

Yes 4.0%

Vol$449.62

SnapshotOct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Yes 4.0%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the January interest rate announcement?

Part of: Bank of Canada Decision in January?

YesYes Price

4.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$449.62

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 27, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

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Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the January interest rate announcement?

Yes

4.0¢

Vol

$449.62

Outcomes

Trade

Yes4.0¢

No96.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 4.0%. Snapshot Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the January interest rate announcement? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 27, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the January 2027 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its January 2027 interest rate announcement, scheduled for January 27, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its January 2027 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

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Resolution Info