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Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?

Yes 48.0%

Vol$70

SnapshotOct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 48.0%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?

Part of: Bank of Russia Decision in March?

YesYes Price

48.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$70

Outcomes

Ends

Mar 19, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

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Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?

Yes

48.0¢

Vol

$70

Outcomes

Trade

Yes48.0¢

No52.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 48.0%. Snapshot Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Mar 19, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Russia, including the statement or release from its March 2027 meeting, scheduled for March 19, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar (https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Russia resulting from its March 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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Resolution Info