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Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026?

Yes 3.1%

Vol$294.8

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 3.1%

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Event

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MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026?

Part of: Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

YesYes Price

3.1¢

VolTotal Volume

$294.8

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 1, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026?

Yes

3.1¢

Vol

$294.8

Outcomes

Trade

Yes3.1¢

No96.9¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 3.1%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

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Resolution Info