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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21.5%

Vol$7.9K

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 21.5%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?

Part of: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

YesYes Price

21.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$7.9K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes

21.5¢

Vol

$7.9K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes21.5¢

No78.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 21.5%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Resolution Info