PPOLYMARKET

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes23%

Vol$157.13K

Outcomes2

23%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

NoNo Price

78¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$157.13K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jul 16, 2026

less than a minute ago

Trade on Polymarket

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

No

78¢

|

Vol

$157.13K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes22.5¢

No77.5¢

Price History

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Resolves Today

July 16, 2026 • 11:33 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

July 16, 2026

11:33 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.