PPOLYMARKET

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes14%

Vol$45.84K

Outcomes2

14%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

NoNo Price

87¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$45.84K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Aug 30, 2026

less than a minute ago

Trade on Polymarket

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

No

87¢

|

Vol

$45.84K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes13.5¢

No86.5¢

Price History

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Resolves Today

August 30, 2026 • 12:07 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 30, 2026

12:07 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the United States Senate as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election. Senate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.