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Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21.5%

Vol$8.7K

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 21.5%

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Event

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Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?

Part of: SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

YesYes Price

21.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$8.7K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?

Yes

21.5¢

Vol

$8.7K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes21.5¢

No78.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 21.5%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Resolution Info