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Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher?

Yes 34.0%

Vol$1.8K

SnapshotOct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 34.0%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveCulture

Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher?

Part of: US Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)

YesYes Price

34.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$1.8K

Outcomes

Ends

May 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher?

Yes

34.0¢

Vol

$1.8K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes34.0¢

No66.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 34.0%. Snapshot Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: May 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the general fertility rate (births per 1,000 women aged 15–44) in the United States in 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value, as reported in the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) annual provisional births report for 2026, meaning the first NCHS report that presents provisional birth data for the full calendar year 2026, regardless of its exact title or format (see 2025 example, “Births: Provisional Data for 2025”: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr043.pdf), estimated to be released in April 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Provisional counts or estimates covering only part of 2026, and full-year figures published only in data dashboards, data files, or statistical tables rather than in such a report, will not be considered. The report is expected to be made available here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/births.htm If NCHS does not release its annual provisional births report for 2026 by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: The relevant data will be the general fertility rate in the United States in 2026 as stated in the annual provisional births report for 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of this report will not be considered for this market’s resolution.

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Resolution Info