PPOLYMARKET

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

Yes4%-0.1%

Vol$10.95K

Outcomes2

4%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

NoNo Price

96¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$10.95K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 31, 2027

in 5 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

No

96¢

|

Vol

$10.95K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes4.5¢

No95.5¢

Price History

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

159 Days Left

January 31, 2027 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 31, 2027

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release. This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026. If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026. This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.