Yes13%+0.5%
Vol$31.04K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Part of: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?NoNo Price
88¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$31.04K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 12 monthsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
88¢
|
Vol
$31.04K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes12.5¢
No87.5¢
Price History
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
349 Days Left
December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago