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Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?

Yes 25.5%

Vol$136.56

SnapshotOct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Yes 25.5%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?

Part of: Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

YesYes Price

25.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$136.56

Outcomes

Ends

Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?

Yes

25.5¢

Vol

$136.56

Outcomes

Trade

Yes25.5¢

No74.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 25.5%. Snapshot Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model (5.6+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Opus" and be designated as version 5.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6, while models whose name does not include "Opus" or which retain a version designation below 5.6, such as Claude Opus 5.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Resolution Info