PPOLYMARKET

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Yes11%

Vol$643.96K

Outcomes2

11%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

NoNo Price

90¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$643.96K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Dec 31, 2026

in 6 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

No

90¢

|

Vol

$643.96K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes10.5¢

No89.5¢

Price History

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

168 Days Left

December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

December 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting. Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.