Yes5%+0.1%
Vol$146.60
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Part of: How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?NoNo Price
95¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$146.60
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Sep 20, 2026
in 8 monthsWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
No
95¢
|
Vol
$146.60
|
Outcomes
2
Yes4.5¢
No95.5¢
Price History
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
September 20, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
246 Days Left
September 20, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated