Yes7%-2.5%
Vol$877.14
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Part of: GDP growth in 2026NoNo Price
94¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$877.14
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 29, 2027
in about 1 yearWill US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
No
94¢
|
Vol
$877.14
|
Outcomes
2
Yes6.5¢
No93.5¢
Price History
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 29, 2027
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
377 Days Left
January 29, 2027 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago