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Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Yes 0.1%

Vol$109.1K

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 0.1%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Part of: Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?

YesYes Price

0.1¢

VolTotal Volume

$109.1K

Outcomes

Ends

Feb 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Yes

0.1¢

Vol

$109.1K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.1¢

No99.9¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 0.1%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Feb 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Resolution Info