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Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 1.3%

Vol$1.35M

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 1.3%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Part of: Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

YesYes Price

1.3¢

VolTotal Volume

$1.35M

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes

1.3¢

Vol

$1.35M

Outcomes

Trade

Yes1.3¢

No98.7¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 1.3%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution Info