The price you're paying for YES shares
Fees are excluded until entered. Divide the fee in your order preview by the number of contracts.
Review Kalshi fees or Polymarket fees for your market.
Break-even Win Rate
65.0%
You need to win more than 65.0% of the time to profit
Fee adds 0.0% to the break-even threshold
Implied Odds
65.0%
Market price
Decimal Odds
1.54x
Payout multiplier
Edge Needed
+0.0%
Due to fees
Per $100 Wagered
Understanding Break-even
When entry fees are included, the break-even win rate is higher than the market price. You need to be right more often than the market implies to make money.
Example: At a 65¢ price plus a 2¢ entry fee, the total cost is 67¢ per contract, so break-even is 67%.
Tip: Focus on markets where you believe your edge exceeds the fee-adjusted break-even rate.