What is the current price for "2028 Electoral College margin of victory?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 92.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "2028 Electoral College margin of victory?"?

There are 14 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "2028 Electoral College margin of victory?"?

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2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

Yes12%

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2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

Name: 2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
Start: 2026-07-10T08:27:41.370Z
End: 2026-08-09T08:27:41.370Z

Part of: 2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

Nov 7, 2028 If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between X votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congress to count electoral college ballots, including if no candidate receives a majority of electoral votes. This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion o

YesLeading Yes Probability

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2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

Yes

12%

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14 markets tracked

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?

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All Markets(14)

Market	Price
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?	12%
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?	11%
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?	11%
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?	10%
Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?	9%

Markets (14)

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Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congr

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Cong

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congr

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congr

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congr

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Cong

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congr

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congre

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Con

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Con

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congre

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Con

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congr

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Con

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

Market Price Graph

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (14)

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?

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