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How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

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EventKALSHI

How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
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Vol

2.6K contracts

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Markets

30

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Nov 30, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(30)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 97.5%
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% by Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 97.5%
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% by Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 97.5%
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% by Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 97.5%

Event Overview

By Nov 30, 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above X on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (30)

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KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume214.78 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume107 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume449.54 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume2 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome79.0%
Yes
Volume3 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome74.0%
Yes
Volume17.39 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome70.0%
Yes
Volume192.04 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome65.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome60.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome55.0%
Yes
Volume3 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome52.5%
Yes
Volume338.09 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome48.0%
Yes
Volume4 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome44.0%
Yes
Volume6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome40.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.20% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome35.0%
Yes
Volume190 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome32.0%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.22% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome29.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome27.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome24.0%
Yes
Volume345 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.25% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome21.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.26% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome17.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.27% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.28% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume296 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome11.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome9.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.31% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome7.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.32% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume402 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.34% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% by Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.33% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details

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