What is the current price for "How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 89.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?"?

There are 18 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $7K.

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How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

Vol7.5K contracts

Markets18

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIFinancials

How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

Name: How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
Start: 2026-11-13T09:34:19.873Z
End: 2026-12-13T09:34:19.873Z

Part of: How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

By Nov 30, 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below X on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

VolTotal Volume

7.5K contracts

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

Vol

7.5K contracts

Markets

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.25% by Nov 30, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(18)

Market	Outcome price
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.25% by Nov 30, 2026?	Yes 11.0%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.24% by Nov 30, 2026?	Yes 9.0%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.23% by Nov 30, 2026?	Yes 7.0%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.22% by Nov 30, 2026?	Yes 6.0%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.21% by Nov 30, 2026?	Yes 4.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (18)

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KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.25% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.25% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome11.0%

Yes

Volume468 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.24% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.24% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome9.0%

Yes

Volume413.47 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.23% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.23% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume400 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.22% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.22% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome6.0%

Yes

Volume200 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.21% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.21% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume722 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.20% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.20% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume693.46 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.19% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.19% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume522 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.18% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.18% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume202.01 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.17% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.17% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume1.4K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.16% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.16% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume100 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.15% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.15% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume100 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.13% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.13% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.12% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.12% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume100 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.11% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.11% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume265.62 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.08% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.08% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume1.2K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.14% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.14% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume624.61 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.10% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.10% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume100 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.09% by Nov 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.09% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume1 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 02, 2026

View Details

Back to Event Group

How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

Market Price Graph

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.25% by Nov 30, 2026?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (18)

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