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How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

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EventKALSHI

How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?
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Vol

5.4K contracts

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Markets

30

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% in Nov 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(30)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% in Nov 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% in Nov 2026?
Yes 98.0%
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% in Nov 2026?
Yes 87.5%
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% in Nov 2026?
Yes 87.5%
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% in Nov 2026?
Yes 82.5%

Event Overview

In Nov 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above X on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
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Markets (30)

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KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume200 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume399 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome87.5%
Yes
Volume184 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome87.5%
Yes
Volume162 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome82.5%
Yes
Volume489 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome82.5%
Yes
Volume340.68 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome72.0%
Yes
Volume140 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome69.5%
Yes
Volume177 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome60.0%
Yes
Volume141.18 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome54.5%
Yes
Volume471.91 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome54.5%
Yes
Volume3 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome54.5%
Yes
Volume6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome54.0%
Yes
Volume17.62 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome54.0%
Yes
Volume531 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome47.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome39.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome38.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome37.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome35.5%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome32.5%
Yes
Volume860 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome32.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome31.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome29.5%
Yes
Volume191.1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome25.5%
Yes
Volume300 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome24.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome23.5%
Yes
Volume300 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome21.0%
Yes
Volume300 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% in Nov 2026?

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome18.5%
Yes
Volume226 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details

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