What is the current price for "How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 99.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?"?

There are 14 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $5K.

BackKKALSHI

How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Vol4.8K contracts

Markets14

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIFinancials

How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Name: How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?
Start: 2026-11-13T10:31:35.684Z
End: 2026-12-13T10:31:35.684Z

Part of: How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

In Nov 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below X on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

VolTotal Volume

4.8K contracts

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Vol

4.8K contracts

Markets

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.59% in Nov 2026?

kalshi

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All Markets(14)

Market	Outcome price
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.59% in Nov 2026?	Yes 5.5%
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.58% in Nov 2026?	Yes 4.5%
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.57% in Nov 2026?	Yes 4.0%
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.54% in Nov 2026?	Yes 3.5%
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.55% in Nov 2026?	Yes 3.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (14)

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KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.59% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.59% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome5.5%

Yes

Volume460 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.58% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.58% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume246 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.57% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.57% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume50 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.54% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.54% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.55% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.55% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.56% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.56% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume702.6 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.53% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.53% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume629.1 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.52% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.52% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.50% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.50% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume492 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.51% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.51% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.49% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.49% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome1.5%

Yes

Volume228.01 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.47% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.47% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome1.0%

Yes

Volume1.1K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.48% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.48% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome1.0%

Yes

Volume467.01 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.46% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.46% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome0.5%

Yes

Volume478.01 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

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How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Market Price Graph

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.59% in Nov 2026?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (14)

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