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Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

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Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
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Vol

34.16M contracts

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Markets

4

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Market snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 20, 2029?

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All Markets(4)
MarketOutcome price
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 20, 2029?
Yes 16.5%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 12.5%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes 2.0%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Dec 1, 2026?
Yes 0.5%

Event Overview

Before 2027 If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (4)

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KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 20, 2029?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 20, 2029?

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome16.5%
Yes
Volume907.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 20, 2029
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 1, 2028?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 1, 2028?

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome12.5%
Yes
Volume1.26M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2028
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume30.81M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Dec 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Dec 1, 2026?

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume1.19M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details

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