
Before Jan 2027 If X is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Clarification, 9/25/25: The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes. This marke
61%
$1.38M
25

61%
$1.38M
25
25 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Han Duck-soo be arrested before Jan 2027? | 61% |
Will John Brennan be arrested before Jan 2027? | 52% |
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before Jan 2027? | 39% |
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before Jan 2027? | 37% |
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before Jan 2027? | 23% |

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