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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
Before Jan 1, 2027 If X has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Charges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named a
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
55 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Will John Brennan be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 64% |
Will John Brennan be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 59% |
Will Letitia James be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 50% |
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 44% |
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 44% |
Will Letitia James be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 41% |
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 34% |
Will Jack Smith be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 32% |
Will James Clapper be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 31% |
Will Adam Schiff be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 31% |
Will Peter Strzok be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 30% |
Will James Clapper be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 28% |
Will Fani Willis be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 27% |
Will Anthony Fauci be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 23% |
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 21% |
Will Lisa Cook be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 20% |
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 20% |
Will Mark Milley be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 18% |
Will Chris Krebs be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 16% |
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 15% |
Will Christopher Wray be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 15% |
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 14% |
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 14% |
Will Keith Ellison be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 14% |
Will Hunter Biden be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 14% |
Will Gustavo Petro be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 12% |
Will Tim Walz be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 12% |
Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 12% |
Will Hillary Clinton be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 11% |
Will Alvin Bragg be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 11% |
Will Joe Kent be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 11% |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 11% |
Will Lee Jae Myung be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 11% |
Will Liz Cheney be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 10% |
Will Tom Homan be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 9% |
Will Susan Rice be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 9% |
Will Jacob Frey be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 9% |
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 9% |
Will Jerome Powell be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 9% |
Will Mark Kelly be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 9% |
Will Candace Owens be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 8% |
Will Bill Clinton be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 8% |
Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 8% |
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 7% |
Will Elissa Slotkin be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 7% |
Will John Kerry be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 7% |
Will Kash Patel be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 7% |
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 6% |
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 6% |
Will Tucker Carlson be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 6% |
Will Joe Biden be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 6% |
Will Pam Bondi be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 6% |
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 6% |
Will Chris Christie be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 4% |
Will Joe Biden be arrested before Jan 2027? | Kalshi | 4% |
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Before Jan 2027 If X is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Clarification, 9/25/25: The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Before Jan 1, 2027 If X has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Charges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named a
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