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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Event Group
EventKALSHI

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
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Vol

59.7K contracts

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Markets

11

Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(11)
MarketOutcome price
Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 94.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 89.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 68.5%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 58.5%

Event Overview

10/26 - 11/1 If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (11)

Sort
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume22.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 160 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome92.5%
Yes
Volume8.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome89.5%
Yes
Volume12.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome68.5%
Yes
Volume2.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome58.5%
Yes
Volume2.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume2.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome37.0%
Yes
Volume1.51 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome26.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome17.0%
Yes
Volume601 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome7.5%
Yes
Volume7.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume1.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details

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