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Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Yes 17.0%

Vol901 contracts

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 17.0%

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Event

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Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Part of: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

YesYes Price

17.0¢

VolTotal Volume

901 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Feb 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Yes

17.0¢

Vol

901 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes17.0¢

No83.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 17.0%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Feb 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

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Resolution Info