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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

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EventKALSHI

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
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Vol

25.4K contracts

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Markets

11

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Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(11)
MarketOutcome price
Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 91.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 85.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 75.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 58.5%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 48.5%

Event Overview

10/19 - 10/25 If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (11)

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KALSHITech
Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome91.5%
Yes
Volume3.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 160 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome85.5%
Yes
Volume10.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome75.5%
Yes
Volume336.45 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome58.5%
Yes
Volume1.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome48.5%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome40.5%
Yes
Volume3.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome34.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome29.0%
Yes
Volume319.01 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome19.5%
Yes
Volume518 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume2.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome7.5%
Yes
Volume1.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details

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