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Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Yes 29.0%

Vol319.01 contracts

SnapshotOct 18, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 29.0%

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Event

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Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Part of: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

YesYes Price

29.0¢

VolTotal Volume

319.01 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 25, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Yes

29.0¢

Vol

319.01 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes29.0¢

No71.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 29.0%. Snapshot Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 25, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

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Resolution Info