Will the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?

In 2026 If the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure passes, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. This market refers to Measure RTM, the Regional Transit Measure on the Nov 3, 2026 ballot in Alameda, Contra Costa, San Francisco, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties. Whether it passes is determined by the combined vote across all five counties, not county by county. This market wi