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Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
Pro Football Champion?
$730.94M
Seattle
24%
/
25%
Los Angeles R
21%
/
20%
Buffalo
14%
/
14%
32 pairs
Feb 8
Polymarket
Kalshi
Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$514.63M
Gavin Newsom
35%
/
34%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
/
10%
Josh Shapiro
6%
/
7%
35 pairs
Nov 7
Polymarket
Economy
Fed decision in January?
$341.78M
No change
94%
25 bps decrease
6%
50+ bps decrease
0%
+1 more
Jan 28
Polymarket
Kalshi
Politics
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$216.97M
Kevin Warsh
41%
/
43%
Kevin Hassett
35%
/
35%
Christopher Waller
9%
/
11%
23 pairs
Dec 31
Polymarket
Kalshi
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$194.38M
J.D. Vance
51%
/
49%
+3%
Marco Rubio
17%
/
18%
Donald Trump
3%
/
4%
27 pairs
Nov 7
Polymarket
Kalshi
World
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$194.15M
JD Vance
27%
/
29%
+2%
Gavin Newsom
19%
/
19%
Marco Rubio
10%
/
10%
22 pairs
Nov 7
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
Champions League Winner
$178.56M
Arsenal
18%
/
21%
+3%
Bayern Munich
17%
/
15%
Barcelona
11%
/
12%
32 pairs
May 31
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
English Premier League Winner?
$176.94M
Arsenal
76%
/
76%
Man City
20%
/
20%
Aston Villa
3%
/
3%
20 pairs
May 27
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
Pro Basketball Champion?
$174.30M
Oklahoma City Thunder
41%
/
44%
+3%
Denver Nuggets
10%
/
12%
+2%
San Antonio Spurs
6%
/
9%
+3%
30 pairs
Jul 1
Polymarket
Kalshi
Politics
Portugal Presidential Election
$102.45M
António José Seguro (IND)
63%
/
64%
João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
21%
/
20%
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
9%
/
10%
8 pairs
Jan 25
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
2026 Men's World Cup winner?
$68.75M
Spain
16%
/
17%
England
14%
/
13%
France
13%
/
11%
42 pairs
Jul 20
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
La Liga Winner
$57.01M
Barcelona
68%
/
66%
+2%
Real Madrid
30%
/
34%
+4%
Villarreal
1%
/
2%
20 pairs
May 30
Polymarket
Politics
US strikes Iran by...?
$37.97M
December 31
63%
June 30
36%
March 31
15%
3 mkts
Jun 30
Polymarket
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in January?
$31.70M
↑ 100,000
69%
↑ 105,000
30%
↓ 40,000
14%
+17 more
Feb 1
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
MVP winner?
$29.81M
Matthew Stafford
81%
/
80%
Drake Maye
17%
/
19%
Josh Allen
1%
/
1%
42 pairs
Feb 18
Polymarket
Politics
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
$26.94M
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran b...
21%
1 mkt
Jan 31
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
College Football Championship Winner?
$26.73M
Indiana
74%
/
74%
Miami Florida
26%
/
26%
8 pairs
Jan 20
Polymarket
Politics
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
$26.16M
VVD + CDA + D66
91%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
2%
GL/PvdA + CDA
1%
+27 more
Dec 21
Polymarket
Culture
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
$20.83M
New "Stranger Things" episode released b...
0%
1 mkt
Jan 7
Polymarket
Finance
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
$19.29M
December 31, 2025
23%
March 31, 2026
10%
June 30, 2026
9%
+1 more
Dec 21
Kalshi
Economics
Fed decision in Jan 2026?
$17.59M
Fed maintains rate
96%
Cut 25bps
6%
Hike >25bps
1%
+2 more
Apr 29
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
MVP Winner?
$15.12M
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
69%
/
72%
+3%
Nikola Jokic
17%
/
18%
Luka Doncic
6%
/
6%
22 pairs
Jun 10
Polymarket
Culture
What will happen before GTA VI?
$14.22M
GPT-6 released
68%
New Rihanna Album
56%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
55%
+5 more
Jul 31
Polymarket
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
$13.48M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31...
3%
1 mkt
Jan 31
Polymarket
Tech
Which company has the best AI model end of January?
$13.15M
Google
95%
xAI
4%
OpenAI
1%
+8 more
Jan 31
Polymarket
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$12.51M
January 31, 2026
18%
December 31, 2025
7%
March 31, 2026
2%
3 mkts
Dec 31
Polymarket
Kalshi
Culture
Oscar for Best Picture?
$11.87M
One Battle After Another
81%
/
82%
Hamnet
11%
/
10%
Sinners
4%
/
6%
15 pairs
Mar 15
Polymarket
Kalshi
World
Who will win the Brazil presidential election?
$11.59M
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
53%
/
54%
Flávio Bolsonaro
16%
/
22%
+6%
Tarcisio de Freitas
17%
/
17%
8 pairs
Oct 4
Polymarket
Kalshi
Crypto
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
$11.24M
by June 30, 2026
17%
/
16%
by March 31, 2026
6%
/
4%
+3%
14 pairs
Mar 30
Polymarket
Politics
Epstein blackmail evidence released by...?
$10.90M
March 31
75%
December 31
70%
2 mkts
Dec 31
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
NFC Championship Winner?
$10.84M
Seattle
44%
/
44%
Los Angeles R
36%
/
35%
Chicago
11%
/
12%
10 pairs
Jan 26
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
Stanley Cup® Champion?
$10.81M
Colorado Avalanche
23%
/
26%
+2%
Tampa Bay Lightning
12%
/
13%
Carolina Hurricanes
8%
/
10%
+2%
32 pairs
Jun 30
Kalshi
Sports
Men's College Basketball Champion
$10.71M
Michigan
19%
Arizona
13%
UConn
9%
+70 more
Apr 21
Polymarket
Kalshi
Politics
Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor?
$10.17M
Polymarket
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026?
$10.04M
440-459
51%
560-579
42%
80-99
27%
+27 more
Jan 16
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
Coach of the Year Winner?
$9.98M
Mike Vrabel
75%
/
73%
+3%
Mike Macdonald
20%
/
22%
Ben Johnson
3%
/
3%
32 pairs
Feb 11
Kalshi
Sports
Which teams will play in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game?
$9.72M
New England and Seattle
13%
Buffalo and Seattle
12%
Denver and Seattle
12%
+17 more
Feb 14
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
Offensive Rookie of the Year Winner?
$9.54M
Tetairoa McMillan
92%
/
93%
Jaxson Dart
4%
/
5%
Tyler Shough
3%
/
3%
26 pairs
Feb 7
Polymarket
Politics
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
$9.42M
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
40%
1 mkt
Jan 31
Polymarket
Kalshi
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$9.28M
↑ 200,000
10%
/
15%
+5%
↑ 200,000
10%
/
13%
+3%
2 pairs
Jan 1
Polymarket
Kalshi
Sports
AFC Championship Winner?
$9.04M
New England
29%
/
29%
Buffalo
27%
/
27%
Denver
25%
/
26%
9 pairs
Jan 26
Polymarket
Kalshi
Politics
Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
$8.88M
Delcy Rodríguez
56%
/
55%
María Corina Machado
18%
/
24%
+6%
Edmundo González
8%
/
13%
+5%
15 pairs
Dec 31
Polymarket
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$8.61M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, ...
12%
1 mkt
Mar 31
Polymarket
Kalshi
World
Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands
$8.45M
Rob Jetten
96%
/
93%
+3%
Henri Bontenbal
1%
/
3%
Frans Timmermans
0%
/
2%
8 pairs
Sep 29
Polymarket
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$8.35M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027...
18%
1 mkt
Dec 31
Polymarket
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit in January?
$8.09M
↑ 3,600
48%
↑ 3,800
23%
↓ 2,000
13%
+16 more
Feb 1
Polymarket
Kalshi
Culture
Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
$7.75M
One Battle After Another
99%
/
100%
Sinners
99%
/
99%
Hamnet
99%
/
99%
33 pairs
Jan 22
Kalshi
Politics
How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025?
$7.57M
At least 1 billion
6%
At least 50 billion
3%
At least 25 billion
3%
+6 more
Mar 31
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