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Strongest earthquake magnitude in November 2026

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Strongest earthquake magnitude in November 2026

Strongest earthquake magnitude in November 2026
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564.47 contracts

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Markets

9

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Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

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All Markets(9)
MarketOutcome price
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)
Yes 81.0%
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)
Yes 66.0%
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)
Yes 49.0%
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.2)
Yes 36.0%
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.4)
Yes 25.0%

Event Overview

Worldwide in November 2026 (UTC) If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC, inclusive, is X or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude, Mw, and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (9)

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KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome81.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome66.0%
Yes
Volume51.87 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome49.0%
Yes
Volume27.86 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.2)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.2)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome36.0%
Yes
Volume32.4 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.4)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.4)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome25.0%
Yes
Volume3.06 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.6)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.6)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome17.0%
Yes
Volume4.08 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.8)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.8)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume79.27 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 8.0)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 8.0)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 8.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome8.0%
Yes
Volume355.49 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 8.2)

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 8.2)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 8.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome6.0%
Yes
Volume10.44 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details

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