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What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.2)

Yes 36.0%

Vol32.4 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 36.0%

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Event

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What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.2)

Part of: Strongest earthquake magnitude in November 2026

YesYes Price

36.0¢

VolTotal Volume

32.4 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Dec 7, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

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What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.2)

Yes

36.0¢

Vol

32.4 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes36.0¢

No64.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 36.0%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

What will the strongest earthquake be in November 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.2) · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Dec 7, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

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Resolution Info