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2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?

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2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?

2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?
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Vol

68.3 contracts

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Markets

12

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Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(12)
MarketOutcome price
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 8.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 5.5%
Will João Campos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 4.5%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 4.0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 4.0%

Event Overview

in 2030 If X wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. X special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (12)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume6.55 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Flávio Bolsonaro wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume42.8 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will João Campos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will João Campos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If João Campos wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0.02 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Michelle Bolsonaro wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0.03 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Fernando Haddad wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0.03 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Eduardo Leite wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0.02 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Ratinho Júnior win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Ratinho Júnior win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Ratinho Júnior wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume0.02 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Guilherme Boulos wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume0.02 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Geraldo Alckmin wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume0.02 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Ronaldo Caiado wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume0.02 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Romeu Zema win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Romeu Zema win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Romeu Zema wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume0.02 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Renan Santos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Renan Santos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Renan Santos wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume18.75 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details

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