2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?
K 68.3 contracts
1
12
2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?
K 68.3 contracts
1
12
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Tarcísio de Freitas at 8.5%.
Kalshi
- Tarcísio de Freitas8.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro5.5%
- João Campos4.5%
- Michelle Bolsonaro4%
- Fernando Haddad4%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 68.3 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
12
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
in 2030 If X wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. X special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election. Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
