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2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party)

Event Group
EventKALSHI

2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party)

2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party)
|
Vol

7.8K contracts

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Markets

7

Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will PT win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will PT win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 33.0%
Will Republicanos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 22.5%
Will PL win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 22.0%
Will PSB win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 7.0%
Will PSD win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 5.0%

Event Overview

in 2030 If X wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. X party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE, under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (7)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will PT win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will PT win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If PT wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome33.0%
Yes
Volume1.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Republicanos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Republicanos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Republicanos wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome22.5%
Yes
Volume1.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will PL win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will PL win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If PL wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome22.0%
Yes
Volume1.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will PSB win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will PSB win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If PSB wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome7.0%
Yes
Volume1.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will PSD win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will PSD win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If PSD wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume1.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will NOVO win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will NOVO win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If NOVO wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume1.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Missão win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Missão win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

If Missão wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume733.64 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 27, 2031
View Details

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