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Events
GroupKALSHI

2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party)

2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party)
Vol

K 7.8K contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is PT at 33%.

Kalshi

  1. PT33%
  2. Republicanos22.5%
  3. PL22%
  4. PSB7%
  5. PSD5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 7.8K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

in 2030 If X wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. X party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE, under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?

2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?

K 68.3 contracts
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 8.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 5.5%
Will João Campos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2031 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party)

2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party)

K 0 contracts
Will Morena win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?Yes 60%
Will PAN win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?Yes 20%
Will MC win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2031 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

PM $1.23M · K 82.6K contracts

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

PM Yes 64%Rules differK Yes 49.5%

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 64%Rules differK Yes 55%

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 43.5%Rules differK Yes 55%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

41 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2030 Mexico Presidential election winner?

2030 Mexico Presidential election winner?

K 234.87 contracts
Will Omar García Harfuch win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?Yes 7%
Will Clara Brugada win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?Yes 6%
Will Ricardo Salinas Pliego win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?Yes 5.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2031 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?

Mongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?

K 0 contracts
Will Norovyn Altankhuyag win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election?Yes 24%
Will Odongiin Tsogtgerel win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election?Yes 17%
Will Bökhchuluuny Pürevdorj win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline May 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?

How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?

PM $51.5K · K 32.8K contracts

Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Kalshi: Will the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party be exactly 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 43.5%

Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Kalshi: Will the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party be exactly 3 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 25.9%Rules differK Yes 24%

Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?

Kalshi: Will the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party be exactly 1 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 13.6%Rules differK Yes 12%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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