Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

On Oct 4, 2026 If the margin of victory X first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received X minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Y if Y wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Y loses. Z wins, the margin will be positive; if Y loses, the margin will be negative; if Y ties