Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

On Oct 25, 2026 If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state X 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally, 1/number of tied entities. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Each market