California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above X then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by No minus the vote share received by the option that finishes immediately behind No if No wins, or the option that finishes first if No loses. If No wins, the margin will be positive; if No loses, the margin will be negative; if No ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclus