Clacton by-election: 4th place

On Aug 13, 2026 If X as an Independent, finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order, runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place, For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round,